Are Rising Gold Prices a Sign of Worse to Come?

Monday I mentioned that egg prices are on the rise, which I suspect you knew already. What concerns me is that rising prices across the board may be a sign to of worse things to come, but I’m only a paranoid prepper. 😉

Today I want to point out the rise in gold prices. They’re up to nearly $2900 per ounce, which is close to record highs. In fact, gold prices have rise from about $1600 per ounce over the past five years alone! It’s not quite a doubling, but close enough. Here’s a reference chart if you’d like to see for yourself. The interesting part is that the largest rise in price has occurred within the past 1.5-2 years. (Why that’s happening is up for you to decide, but central banks buying as much gold as they can tends to affect the price for the rest of us peasants.)

Of course, silver has risen in price, too. If you look at the bullionvalut.com chart again and choose silver instead, you’ll see that the price of silver is up as well. Though a bit more volatile than gold, silver is up about 50% since roughly two years ago.

Now, I’m not a financial expert, analyst, investment broker, or anything of the sort, but I do like to pay attention to such things because I believe they’re telling us a story.

What’s that story, you ask? It’s that the powers-that-be (or shouldn’t be) are wary of holding U.S. Dollars. Or perhaps they’re hedging their bets just in case the world financial system goes belly up. At least, that’s how I see it.

Perhaps they’re also afraid of BRICS or Bitcoin challenging the Dollar hegemony, or maybe WW3 is on their minds, or who knows what, but facts are the facts: the big money players are moving into precious metals and have been for a while.

Interestingly, commodities prices are largely down in the energy and metals sectors year-over-year with the exception of natural gas (and gold and silver). If you click on the link again and scroll down to the agriculture section, you’ll see that most prices are up with a few exceptions, particularly soybeans, rice, and potatoes as notable examples. On the flip side, foods like milk, coffee, cocoa, sunflower oil, and butter are up year over year. Continue scrolling down and you’ll get to the livestock section where almost everything is up, especially US eggs.

Now, I realize that the global economy is rather complex. There are so many market forces involved and so many players that it’s hard to draw precise conclusions at any given moment. But the trends are still there if you look back far enough even though a single year will suffice.

The items we need to live, including food, energy, and money, are getting more expensive. Sometimes it’s abrupt, as with natural gas and egg prices, other times it’s a slow march, as with gold and meat prices. The writing is on the wall, in my opinion. While I can’t say when or how it’s all going to go down, I continue to believe that we’re headed towards a collapse. How bad it will be, I don’t know.

But I’m a prepper for a reason, and I don’t plan on being bulldozed by circumstance. I encourage you not to, either. Get your shit together. Prepare as best as you can within your means. You and I can do it. I have faith.


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Comments

One response to “Are Rising Gold Prices a Sign of Worse to Come?”

  1. GregE

    When I retired in 2020, I converted some of my superannuation to pool allocated gold on the basis that inflation was likely to continue and with the fees being taken out of the super and the currency losing value I thought it would be a good way to avoid having the real buying power gradually eroded over time, I didn’t expect gold to explode in the short time since then, however I did see the signs that prices of everything would rise particularly given at that time we didn’t know how long the C19 scare was going to run and although we did manage to get out of credit card debt on retirement, things were expected to be tight on a pension. For now, I do expect things to ease somewhat even in Australia now that President Trump is in charge but I’ll wait and see if things settle down financially as everything is still too volatile politically, it feels like the mid-late 60s at the height of the cold war, where I worked in the UK we were told that as we were a target we might get 15 minutes warning to get at least 5 miles away although now knowing the Russian technology of the day we would just as likely run in the wrong direction! Whilst China appears to be the biggest threat now, I suspect that it will come in the form of financial manipulation and buying up land and resources in various countries thus creating a stranglehold and shortages of goods via their “belt and road” initiative – they always work on very long timescales, they have also got the bulk of transport and facilities in the Pacific Ocean so it ain’t over yet! We’ll have a better idea after the next couple of years, Xi might just decide to wait until DJT’s term is over then pounce? Either way I think we’ll still have a choppy few years ahead of us. 🙁

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